Service Plays Thursday 03/12/09

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Bullitt
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THE GOLD SHEET

EARLY THURSDAY, MARCH 12

COLLEGE HOOPS

VIRGINIA TECH (+3) over Miami-Florida ACC Tourney at Atlanta 9:00 AM PDT

GEORGIA TECH (+9 1/2) over Clemson ACC Tourney at Atlanta 11:20 AM PDT
 

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Red Dog Sports (Northcoast Community Line)

Miami/VT under 138.5

This game starts at 12 noon Eastern and opens the ACC tourney. These two played earlier in the year and ended 88-83 in OT. Here are the opening game scores for VT in the ACC tournament the last 4 years:

Miami 63-49 (112).........under 135
Wake 71-52 (123).........under 141
UVA 60-56 (116)...........under 131
G Tech 73-54 (127).......under 140

Not only did VT and Miami play a 63-49 game last year in the first round but the Hokies next game was 68-66 vs. UNC that also went under.

Both VT and Miami are aiming for the NCAA tourney and need a win here so I expect an under in this early round game that starts at 12 noon.

under 138.5
 

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Raging Bull

Soccer:

UEFA Cup

CSKA Moscow -130

Paris Saint-Germain -150

Ajax/Marseille over 2.5

Werder Bremen/St. Etienne over 2.5
 
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Jim Feist

(703) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
(704) PHOENIX SUNS
Take "Over"

Steve Nash is back, which means the Suns are running and gunning, on a 3-1 run over the total. Of course, they still don't play any defense, which has been the problem during this 5-game skid. Somebody should be fired for taking a terrific team and turning it into this in just one year. Over the last 9 games, this is the 7th road game for Cleveland. They play their best defense at home, but the Cavs are a long way from home here. Look for Mo Williams and LeBron James to take the Suns' challenge to run and gun in an exciting, high scoring contest. When these teams met last month, Cleveland scored 109 in a game that went over the total. Play the Cavs/Suns over the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

(775) NEW MEXICO STATE
(776) BOISE STATE
Take "(775) NEW MEXICO STATE"

As usual, we're hearing virtually every network analyst talk about how tough it is for one team to beat another three times in the same season. This is a complete myth that has zero basis in fact. The team that wins the first two meetings has a distinct advantage for the third game, and the results are definitive. The winner of the first two games usually wins again. As this is written, the team with the double revenge motive is 10-28 this season straight up, so it's business as usual, and as usual, those "experts" on the networks have gotten it wrong again. That brings me to today's New Mexico State-Boise State WAC contest, in which the Aggies are looking to beat the Broncos after dropping both regular season meetings. And here's where the double revenge has a little meaning. If the teams are really closely matched in terms of talent, then I'll agree it's tough for one team to beat the other three times in one campaign. By no means should you automatically gravitate to the team with the apparent motive, as if the numbers don't jibe, it's hardly enough of an edge on its own. But with the Aggies and Broncos a virtual wash on the numbers, I think it could be a little bit of an edge here. This is not nearly strong enough to qualify as a service release for me, but I'll lean to New Mexico State to break through today.
 
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ChicagoSportsConnection

ChicagoSportsConnection
***************************
All ONE UNIT plays this afternoon.
***************************
1:00 EDT
#751 MISSISSIPPI +6.5 vs Kentucky

MISS...11-5 ATS as dog
...........11-5 ATS in conference
...........11-5 ATS in L16 games
KY.......3-8 STRAIGHT UP in L11
............6-10 ATS in conference.
............2-9 ATS in L11 games.
KY is one of a few high profile teams limping into March Madness.
****************************************
2:20 EDT
#708 VILLANOVA minus points VS Marquette

I have an UNOFFICIAL opener @ NOVA-3.
We will play NOVA @ -5 or lower......(5.5=no play)

MARQ played yesterday as NOVA rested.
MARQ lost 4 of L5 on road.
NOVA won 4 of L5 on road.

NOVA gaurds are better and are a deeper team.
We have them winning this one by 8 to 10 points.
***************************************
2:30 EDT
#716 MICHIGAN -5.5 vs Iowa

IOWA is pretty bad.
They've lost 11 straight on the road.
..........4-12 SU in L16.
(sidenote....2-11 ATS in tournament games /L3 years)

MICHIGAN coming into postseason on a little roll.
They have 19 wins and a win or two more could put them in the Big Dance.
.....7-2 ATS in L9.
2 nice recent ROAD wins @ MINN & N'WESTERN
**************************************
 

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Maddux Sports

Basketball
#715 - NCAA - 3 units on Iowa +5.5
#724 - NCAA - 3 units on Maryland -1.5
#726 - NCAA - 3 units on Boston College -4.5
#740 - NCAA - 3 units on Bowling Green -2
#783 - NCAA - 3 units on Arizona +4
 

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Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Iowa +5.5
3 units on Maryland -1.5
3 units on Boston College -4.5
3 units on Bowling Green -2
3 units on Arizona +4
 

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Charlies Sports

Wed's 500* early & late 500* wins!!

CBB. va tech+3 vs miami fl. the va tech hokies need a victory for a chance to go to the ncaa tournament, it won't be easy today buth the hokies will get the cover+3.
:cripwalk:
 

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Chris Jordan

COMPLIMENTARY SELECTIONS ...

1♦ BOWLING GREEN - Analysis on these two free winners by 4 p.m. eastern
1♦ SUNS -
 

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Karl Garrett

12-1
THE LAST 6 DAYS!
Today's Complimentary Selection The G-Man is on a 65-53 Bonus Play run following winners on St. John's on Tuesday and St. Joseph's on Wednesday.

For Thursday, going to play Villanova minus the small number over Marquette.

While Marquette's romp over St. John's was impressive, let's remember it was St. John's. The fact remains, Marquette is still minus a big gun in James, and the last time the Golden Eagles played the Wildcats they were mauled, 84-102 back on February 10th.

Can't see much changing today, as Villanova plays the style of game Marquette plays, and right now the Wildcats are playing it much better, as they enter sporting wins in 11 of their last 13 straight up, while going 11-4 against the spread their last 15 games.

The Golden Eagles are just 2-7 against the spread their last 9 games, and like I said at the top, a blowout win over St. John's is nothing to puff your chest out over.

Villanova is a dangerous team right now, and today they will show you why.

Take the 'Cats.



5? VILLANOVA


(
on a 1? to 5? basis)

















































 

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Michael Cannon

Complimentary Selection THURSDAY'S FIRST PLAY
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>

<o:p></o:p>


<o:p></o:p>





Take the points with <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:State> this afternoon in the first round of the Big Ten tournament.<o:p></o:p>

<o:p> </o:p>
The Hawkeyes are a much improved team and should be able to give the Wolverines a scare today. <st1:State><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:State> is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 overall, including an overtime win over <st1:State><st1:place>Michigan</st1:place></st1:State> at <st1:City><st1:place>Iowa City</st1:place></st1:City> on Feb. 22. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:State> also plays tough defense, ranking 12<SUP>th</SUP> in the nation in scoring at 58.9 ppg. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State><st1:place>Michigan</st1:place></st1:State> relies so heavily on its perimeter game, but they are going to have a hard time finding open looks against the aggressive <st1:State><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:State> defense.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Jake Kelly has done a good job running the point in the absence of Jeff Peterson, who is day-to-day with a hamstring injury. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Take the points with <st1:State><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:State> as they stay within the number.<o:p></o:p>

<o:p></o:p>

<o:p>3♦ IOWA</o:p>
<o:p> </o:p> <o:p>On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis</o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<o:p>THURSDAY'S SECOND PLAY</o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<o:p><st1:place><st1:placeName>Take</st1:placeName> <st1:placeName>Mississippi</st1:placeName> <st1:placeType>State</st1:placeType></st1:place> minus the points over <st1:country-region><st1:place>Georgia</st1:place></st1:country-region> in the first round of the SEC tournament.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:place><st1:placeName>Mississippi</st1:placeName> <st1:placeType>State</st1:placeType></st1:place> has revenge motive for last year’s upset loss to the Bulldogs in the SEC tourney, and they should have an easy time winning and covering this line today.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
That’s because <st1:country-region><st1:place>Georgia</st1:place></st1:country-region> ranked at the bottom of the conference in both scoring and field goal percentage, and they will be going against a <st1:place><st1:placeName>Mississippi</st1:placeName> <st1:placeType>State</st1:placeType></st1:place> team that’s allowing only 39 percent from the field on the year.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:place><st1:placeName>Mississippi</st1:placeName> <st1:placeType>State</st1:placeType></st1:place> ended the regular season with back-to-back wins over <st1:State><st1:place>Florida</st1:place></st1:State> and Ole Miss and that momentum should carry over into today.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:country-region><st1:place>Georgia</st1:place></st1:country-region>’s last seven losses have been by double-digits and I see no reason why that trend should change against the deeper, more talented Msu team.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:place><st1:placeName>Take</st1:placeName> <st1:placeName>Mississippi</st1:placeName> <st1:placeType>State</st1:placeType></st1:place> minus the points as they grab the win and cover.<o:p></o:p>



<o:p>4♦ MISSISSIPPI STATE</o:p>
<o:p> </o:p> <o:p>On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis</o:p>

</o:p>
 

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BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Thursday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Buffalo (+1.5) over Kent State (NCAA)

Kent State is 1-9 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days
Kent State is 0-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court
Kent State is 2-10 ATS after playing two games as a favorite



100* Play San Diego State (+4) over UNLV (NCAA)

UNLV is 0-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 3-9 ATS coming off an UNDER the total this season
UNLV is 0-5 ATS over the last 5 games



100* Play NC State (+2) over Maryland (NCAA)

NC State is 10-3 ATS as an underdog this season
NC State is 17-6 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997
NC State is 7-2 ATS over the last 9 games


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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays


50* Play LA Lakers (+2) over San Antonio (NBA)


30* Play Montreal (-275) over NY Islanders (NHL)
 

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Ferringo's free pick is Baylor +9 over Kansas. Does anybody know where this line comes from? I can't find where it's been released
 

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Billy Coleman:
4* BC

This guy is hot, top play 6-1 L7

Paid for.

I will also buy another pick later today, just let me know who. I'll be home at 6:00.
 

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KELSO March Madness Basketball Package


4 Units
Arizona (+4) over Arizona State

3 Units
Utah State (-10) over Fresno State

5 Units
Providence (+10) over Louisville
 

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